other material
confidence high
sentiment negative
materiality 0.80
ExxonMobil expects Q1 EPS higher ex-timing; Middle East disruptions cut production ~6%
EXXON MOBIL CORP
- Middle East disruptions to lower Q1 global production ~6% vs Q4 2025; Qatar LNG trains damaged (3% of 2025 upstream output).
- Timing effects expected ($4.9B)-($3.5B) negative due to rising oil prices; midpoint ~$0.93/share.
- Identified items include ($0.8B)-($0.6B) loss from Middle East-related hedge settlements.
- Golden Pass LNG Train 1 at Sabine Pass achieved first LNG production on March 30, 2026.
- Q1 EPS expected higher than Q4 2025 excluding unfavorable timing effects.