earnings
confidence high
sentiment negative
materiality 0.85
Centene withdraws 2025 guidance due to $1.8B risk adjustment hit
CENTENE CORP
2025-Q2 EPS reported
$2.13
revenue$95,362,000,000
- Withdraws 2025 GAAP and adjusted EPS guidance; preliminary $1.8B net risk adjustment revenue reduction (~$2.75 EPS impact).
- Wakely data from 22 states (72% of Marketplace membership) shows significantly higher market morbidity than assumed.
- Q2 Medicaid HBR expected higher than Q1 due to step-up in behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drug trends in NY and FL.
- Medicare Advantage and PDP performing better than expected in Q2 2025; SG&A leverage continues.
- Second quarter 2025 results to be reported on July 25, 2025.