other material
confidence high
sentiment positive
materiality 0.75
Gevo expects 2026 non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA to more than double prior estimates; targets >$70M in 45Z credits
Gevo, Inc.
- Opened Canada CFR carbon intensity pathway for low-carbon ethanol with CCS; initiated CFR credit sales.
- Debottlenecking Gevo North Dakota to 75M gal/yr ethanol by 2026; expansion to 150M gal/yr targeted for 2028.
- Project Northstar (SAF) FEL-3 capex ~$600M; process modules within 2% of prior estimate, site-specific costs up $100M.
- Considering exiting Lake Preston SAF project; expects significant non-cash write-downs but no further cash spend.
- RNG production averaging 106% of budget; cost optimization targeting >$5M run-rate reduction in 2026.